Since he has likely alienated minority and educated women with his rhetoric and behavior, Trump must pull in vast numbers of new white voters -- some who may have voted for Democrats in the past - to make up for the shortfall.
On the other side, there's Democrat candidate former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton who has Wall Street connections and has been mired in scandals, including the loss of thousands of emails.
National polls show a tightening race.
The millions of votes that have been cast already in the USA presidential election point to an advantage for Hillary Clinton in critical battleground states, as well as signs of strength in traditionally Republican territory.
Clinton is showing strength in Florida and North Carolina, both must-win states for Trump, as well as the battleground states of Nevada, Colorado and Arizona. "We can't let them get away with this", Clinton told an election rally of gay and lesbian supporters in Florida.
Speaking at an afternoon rally in Toledo, Ohio, Trump argued Clinton's policies are so bad that there's no point in having an election at all.
FILE - In this October 23, 2016 file photo, Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump arrives to speak to a campaign rally in Naples, Fla.
Likely voters split 47 percent for Clinton and 45 percent for Trump, according to the survey conducted Monday through Thursday.
The New York businessman over the past year has largely ignored the key components of recent winning campaigns, depending instead on massive rallies and free media coverage to drive his outsider candidacy.
Fan dies after falling while leaving Broncos football game
The Broncos defense shut down Osweiler for the majority of the game and had a heck of a game holding them to only 3 field goals. The Broncos responded with a great Emmanuel Sanders catch at the Houston 2 followed by a Devontae Booker 1 yard rushing TD.
The Republican Party might be in a far stronger position in the race for the White House if Donald Trump were not the nominee. On Friday, Comey told Congress, "We don't know the significance of this newly discovered collection of emails". An on Tuesday, he'll appear with his running mate Mike Pence in Wisconsin, which hasn't voted for a Republican president since Ronald Reagan's re-election in 1984.
On one side, there's Republican candidate Donald Trump who in his campaign has insulted minorities, women and others and has been accused of sexually assaulting several women. The Virginia senator would leadTrump by 16 in a hypothetical matchup. "That doesn't mean he'll necessarily win here". The two were tied at 46 percent in Florida. A similarly small 2 percent of Trump supporters who anticipate he will win say their expectation makes them less likely to vote.
More than 7.8 million Ohioans are registered to votethis year, according to state data.
African-Americans vote Democratic 95 percent of the time and are "the most reliable core" of that party's coalition, Bitzer said. Trump's victory in the Republican primary boosted him to a narrow three-point edge over Clinton in May, his best of the year, but he lost ground in June after sharp criticism of a judge's Mexican heritage and his controversial response to the Orlando shootings. Hillary Clinton's current 3.8 percent lead over Trump has shrunk from 5.6 percent one week ago, a greater decrease than observed in Clinton-Trump-only poll averages.
Trump edged up in some state surveys and CNN moved two crucial states - Florida and Nevada - from lean Democratic to battleground status on its electoral map. They are opting for a third-party choice or writing someone's name in.
The probe had been thought finished in July, when the Federal Bureau of Investigation had recommended that no charges be filed against Clinton, although it found her to have been "extremely careless" in her use of a private server.
"It would take something like an indictment to turn it into a dead heat", Republican pollster Whit Ayres said.
"I want you to remember that folks marched and protested for our right to vote", she said.